Preparing for the end of Cheap Energy

We all know it's coming, and there is likely no chance to stop it. Write your congressman and all that, but this blog is about SURVIVING through and THRIVING throughout the end of cheap energy. Let's toss in global warming, economic upheaval, and various other major calamities facing civilization.

Sunday, January 28, 2007

On China's readiness for PO

I've been thinking about China lately. It seems to me that outside of countries that are currently net exporters of oil, China might be in the best position - even more so than the European countries. Perhaps from a very Machiavellian perspective, but even so.

First of all, consider its central government:
- China doesn't have the short-term thinking issues that most if not all democracies face. That is, U.S. politicians don't care about the long-term since that will not keep them in office. In China however, the central government keeps the long term/big picture in mind when making decisions. This is because they are not pressured by petty, short-term concerns of its constituents.

- China's government is doing a lot of things right now that makes you think they realize what's happening wrt PO and maybe even global warming. For example, they recently said that any new buildings that don't comply with very green standards "will be severely punished."


Now add to that the huge population:
- Even after a major die off, they'll still have more people than any other country. Quite a good "natural" resource to rely on for long-term stability.

- The central government will probably surmise (accurately) that sending a bunch of soldiers off to die in an effort to get more oil will end up saving net lives / population for China. Compound that with a certain set of values that the Chinese possess which go something like, "Anything you do for the family's well-being is a good thing, even if you have to commit evil acts to do so." As a result, while most oil-rich countries will be holding back trying to build up their protection and oil-poor countries will focus on diplomatic efforts to acquire oil, China will be most aggressive in its military efforts to acquire (and then protect) sources of oil.

Then it makes me think about the U.S., esp. its painfully short-term thinking, and its fantastic ability to fool itself in believing it's doing good when it's really being selfish and evil... Gosh - I didn't fully realize it until this moment, but I guess the only possible result is war between the U.S. and China. That's some scary shit.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home