how can they be so different?

I find it amazing how different the peak oil movement can be vs. government agencies. I mean, the agency responsible for measuring and forecasting oil says that we'll experience signifcant growth in production over the next 25 years, and it will be dependent upon how high/low prices are.

In fact, it shows that despite the past 30 years of pretty steady decline in the U.S. production, we'll level out - maybe even grow! Isn't that fantastic?

The government would never lie to us, would they?